Egypt fights for its future: What are the prospects?

The situation is terrible hardened fronts, dead and wounded. Egypt prospects are bleak, judging the present. But not all seems lost, as they believe two experts consulted by DW. The "Arab Spring" ended in 2011 with 30 years of dictatorship of Mubarak in power. Then won the elections the Muslim Brotherhood, later to be overthrown its president, as the military reaction to the violent protests against Mursi.

Hundreds of people died during the evacuation of camps of supporters of Muslim Brotherhood leader who demanded restitution. Now the fronts are divided between the military and the Islamists. Last Friday Islamists called for a "Friday of Determination", but few heeded the call. Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, deputy premier and defense minister of Egypt. Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, deputy premier and defense minister of Egypt.

Political analyst Hamadi El-Aouni, Berlin believes that military forces are achieving "stabilization" of the situation. "Something that Egyptians yearn after bloodshed", says Professor Cilja Harders, director of the department "Near East Policy" at the Free University of Berlin. Harders believe that "the military cannot keep the violent repression against Islamists". The promise of the Army is to restore security and stability in three months.

What about the Muslim Brotherhood?

"The Islamists are no longer able to convince so many people," says Hamadi El-Aouni, adding that "some of its leaders are in jail and the bases are losing their importance." Muslim Brotherhood is no longer calling the shots in mosques.

Repression and public campaign against the Islamists are convinced many followers that may have been mistaken in his election a year ago. Harders believe that the Muslim Brotherhood there is several options: "back into hiding or returning after a break willing to use violence and to confront it." The third option is the worst and the most dangerous for Egypt: the radicalization of the Islamists.

What does the population?

Harders Cilja perceived in Egypt a strong need for reassurance. "Many believe that the military is capable of writing a constitution reliable." Many also believe to be followed later in the path of democracy, adds Harders. El-Aouni also believes there is reason to believe that Egypt will achieve peace recover "Egyptian society will encourage the process of democratization in the medium term."

"Once you regain security and stability, the State will address economic and social problems," confides the-Aouni who believed then, Egypt will emerge as "a model for the new Arab reality." But there is one big problem to solve: "The role religion should play in politics and public life." This is a task that all political forces should discuss peacefully, because "until that happens, the situation will remain unstable and violence generates more violence," warns Harders. By the same the next goal is to achieve reconciliation. To achieve this, concludes Harders, should be included in the debate to the Muslim Brotherhood.