According to U.S. analyst John Pyke, the U.S. not interested
in overthrowing the Assad regime. Given the possibility that Al Qaeda extends
the area, Washington prefers to continue the Syrian president.
Deutsche Welle: Whether Assad has used poison gas or not,
people wonder why it would do such a thing in a scenario that, in principle,
was favorable.
John Pike: That may be true, but he does not see it that
way. It has a large army, but most of his soldiers are Sunni. Moreover, a large
part of that army politically untrustworthy. Only a little trust officers. And
the few Alawites who enjoy his confidence should stay in the barracks to make
sure men do not mutiny. It offers little strength to the real combat and, after
two years of intense warfare, few people in his circle still has the strength
of will to keep fighting. What will happen now? Is this the beginning of the
end for Assad? Do not know. But if you really used poison gas on 21 August, we
understand why he did it.
Otherwise, it would be very difficult to stop a new attack
of this kind. So far, I have not heard a single reason, good or bad, for the
behavior of Assad. And if we do not understand why he did something that has
rendered the world, we are in a very uncertain. We do not understand how a key
figure in this war behaves as it does. Perhaps Assad has noted that Obama does
not have a clear line of action in Egypt. It could, therefore, have lost their
fear of U.S. and believe they can get away with it to a toxic gas attack. How
do you rate Obama's announcement to seek the approval of Congress to an
intervention?
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